Transparency
Prop-Firm Scalper Backtest
The full backtest of the Prop-Firm Scalper — every trade since 2022, wins and losses. Nothing hidden; the numbers are the pitch.
Payout simulator
Payouts earned since 2022
Every 5 winning days in a row banks one payout. A losing day forfeits the running streak and the count restarts — exactly how a funded-account payout cycle behaves.
Equity
Cumulative net · 2022–present
Downsampled from every recorded trade. Year boundaries marked.
Live P&L calendar
Every trading day, 2026
By year
Year-by-year breakdown
Trades, win rate, net P&L and the payouts each year would have produced at both cadences.
| Year | Trades | Wins | Losses | Win rate | Net P&L | Payouts 5d | Payouts 3d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 81 | 77 | 4 | 95.06% | +$12,340 | 14 | 24 |
| 2023 | 124 | 119 | 5 | 95.97% | +$18,482 | 21 | 38 |
| 2024 | 134 | 127 | 7 | 94.78% | +$14,679 | 21 | 41 |
| 2025 | 167 | 154 | 13 | 92.22% | +$4,134 | 26 | 47 |
| 2026 | 158 | 151 | 7 | 95.57% | +$21,465 | 26 | 48 |
The numbers
Full performance statistics
Performance
- Total net profit (backtest)
- $71,101
- Win rate
- 94.58%
- Total trades
- 664
- Winning trades
- 628
- Losing trades
- 36
- Average winning trade
- $283
- Average losing trade
- -$2,957
- Profit factor
- 1.67
- Max drawdown
- -$8771.28
- Sharpe ratio
- 0.53
- Sortino ratio
- 1.01
Behaviour & payouts
- Largest winning trade
- $282.72
- Largest losing trade
- -$3032.28
- Max consecutive winners
- 68
- Max consecutive losers
- 2
- Avg. time in market
- 2.70 min
- Profit per month
- $1341.53
- Winning days
- 628
- Losing days
- 36
- Payouts · 5-day cadence
- 111
- Payouts · 3-day cadence
- 199
- Data range
- 5 Jul 2022 – 9 Nov 2026
Full disclosure
Every recorded loss since 2022
All 36 losing trades in the backtest — dates and figures, nothing omitted. This is what a negative-R model's losses look like: rare, and defined.
How this backtest is built
Questions on the data?Results come from a NinjaTrader backtest of the strategy on NQ futures, three contracts, from 5 Jul 2022 onward. Winners book the system's fixed target; the rare losses are the modelled stop. Figures are net of commission.
The backtest is extended as new market data is added. Payout counts apply the winning-day cadence you select — a losing day forfeits the running streak and the count restarts, exactly as a funded-account cycle works.
Back-tested and hypothetical performance has inherent limitations and is not indicative of future results.
Everything on this page is a backtest — hypothetical results of the strategy run on historical market data, not trades on a live account. Past and back-tested performance is not indicative of future results.
No result is guaranteed. A high historical win rate does not guarantee a payout, a winning day, or the passing of any evaluation — but a consistency-first, negative-R model is designed to materially increase the odds of reaching payout versus high-R strategies. Past and back-tested performance is not indicative of future results. Read the full risk disclaimer.